So, since there’s that lull in the “big picture” war stuff as the geopolitical situation shakes out a bit, you know what that means:
When a car bomb went off in Qamishi the other day, there was a ton of chatter about it. I found the amount a bit disproportionate. I mean, a bomb did go off, so you’d always expect some chatter. But I attribute what I would call more than expected chatter to two main things
- It was a “slow period” in the war, so an attack like this would get more bandwidth.
- It was basically expected and people were ready for what would happen next.
The bombing was predictable precisely because there’s a lull in the conflict. There are the aforementioned geopolitical machinations, but also Russia is clearly changing their behavior, which creates uncertainty, which in turn gives pause to Turkey until they know what’s going on. As per previous posts: Somebody bombed al Bab. Syria claims the SAA did it, but basically nobody believes them, which is really funny.
So it was the proverbial slow news day, so there was a large response both in terms of what movement there was on the ground and in terms of people discussing it—which, perhaps ironically, allowed for people to become pretty clear about what was going on, and knowledge mitigates terror.
So, in a lull, terrorist attacks are how you conduct ethnic cleansing; one of the ways anyway. And, as per the previous discussion, the “low level” ethnic cleansing techniques, i.e. not just blowing everything up and killing everyone, should be expected during this period.
Granted, since the perpetrators of the attack are unknown, it could theoretically have been conducted by SDF. The possible reasons would be to attack the TFSA, to terrorize the residents into the belief they cannot trust the TFSA for defense, or as a false flag operation so that the locals will blame the TFSA.
The rejoinder is usually something to the effect of, We wouldn’t bomb our own cities and people you fucking assholes.
Now, when I said the bombing was predictable, as the people on the ground seemed to think so, I decided not to post the absolute flood of pictures and videos of the devastation. That’s flashy and inherently interesting to watch, but it doesn’t explain the narrative that would invariably unfold.
And so it has.
If the first bombing was predictable, so was the subsequent one in Ras al Ayn was as well, right?
OK, so there are bombings, plural, happening, i.e. in at least a sort of generalized way.
So, we’ve already gone over the possibilities of accusations on each side. Also, given Turkish news as it is, we can pretty much always expect them to accuse the SDF no matter what, whether it’s true or not.
So we could predict that Turkey would blame SDF. And that is what happened.
And, in case anyone does not recall or has not yet read about it, the reason that it’s so predictable is not just the theoretical expectation as per above, but simply because that’s already been their experience in the past.
In other words, Turkey has falsely accused others of attacks for which their militias were responsible.
And the reason that we can reliably believe the counter-accusations that Turkey’s accusations were false is because we know the reaction of the people who lived there.
And this really pissed them off.
I mean really pissed off. I mean like taking to the streets and burning shit down to the point the TFSA opened up on them with live fire.
Does this remove all doubt about who did it? Of course not. But the people with:
- the strongest vested interest in knowing, and
- the greatest possibility and likelihood of knowing, took a strong and clear position on the matter.
This has happened in a couple of places, as has been mentioned before. Bomb goes off. TFSA accuse SDF. Town’s people react in the manner they deem appropriate.
Given enough time, no matter how much disinformation—and sometimes because of it as people become inured to it—people know what’s going on. They know what’s happening to them.
Keep in mind that, outside of the movies, this kind of resistance to an occupying force tends to be difficult and rare. And it’s something that happens in Rojava not infrequently now.
So, who knows how the mainstream media might report this with the conflict in Syria. They’d probably report on Turkey’s statement and then discuss how there were different views. Someday, when the books about all this are written, CNN will probably report on the publication of the book and report that the author had allegedly written a book.
But people—the people things happen to, who suffer a situation long and hard—they know things. They understand.
And in Rojava, this is just a big fucking joke to them.
One of many. The have choice words as well for those who would deny atrocities there, as happens from time to time. And even that has a biting edge to it.
They could be wrong. But they seem to think they get it. And if anyone should know…